Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Santa Clara Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 27.9% | 72.1% | +5.2 | ✗ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Santa Clara Broncos -4 (59-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Fields * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 29 | - |
| Mark Crowe * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Victor Joseph * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Luke Meikle * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Hank Hollingsworth * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | - |
| Marcellus Garrick | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Jakub Niziol | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Karlis Garoza | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
Santa Clara Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Caruso * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 27 | - |
| Matt Hauser * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 17 | - |
| KJ Feagin * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Jarvis Pugh * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Emmanuel Ndumanya * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Josip Vrankic | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Kai Healy | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Shaquille Walters | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter