Model Predictions
| Model | Central Arkansas Bears | San Francisco Dons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.3% | 78.7% | +7.2 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Francisco Dons +2 (78-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Central Arkansas Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Howard * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 33 | - |
| Mathieu Kamba * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Thatch Unruh * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Hayden Koval * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Ethan Lee * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Tanner Schmit | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Deandre Jones | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Darraja Parnell | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Aaron Weidenaar | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Otas Iyekekpolor | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Matthew Mondesir | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamaree Bouyea * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Jordan Ratinho * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 24 | - |
| Chase Foster * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Nate Renfro * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Matthew McCarthy * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Frankie Ferrari | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Remu Raitanen | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 18 | - |
| Erik Poulsen | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Mladen Djordjevic | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Nick Loew | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter