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2018-02-08

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 10.4% 89.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 17.7% 82.3% - โœ“
Margin 14.2% 85.8% +9.9 โœ“ (7.9 off)
Pythagorean 25.2% 74.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 14.0% 86.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 14.0% 86.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 29.2% 70.8% - โœ“

Actual: San Francisco Dons +2 (65-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Hartwich * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 1 1 3 1 4 19 -
T. Diabate * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 3 7 10 -
J. McSwiggan * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 3 1 -
J. Walker * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 4 3 -
M. Porter 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 9 12 -
F. Porter 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 1 0 5 13 -
D. Tyson 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 9 12 -

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Ratinho * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 5 10 -
Chase Foster * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 1 0 0 11 20 -
Frankie Ferrari * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 13 18 -
Matthew McCarthy * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 0 0 10 20 -
Nate Renfro * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 1 4 12 17 -
Souley Boum 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 4 4 -
Remu Raitanen 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 8 9 -
Jimbo Lull 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 0 3 -
Jamaree Bouyea 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
Taavi Jurkatamm 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
Erik Poulsen 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -

* = starter