Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego Toreros | Portland Pilots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.9% | 7.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.0% | 7.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Pilots -7 (74-81). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
San Diego Toreros
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olin Carter * | 43 | 5-13 | 4-12 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | -6.0 |
| Isaiah Wright * | 39 | 7-12 | 4-6 | 12-15 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 21 | +3.3 |
| Tyler Williams * | 38 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | -17.2 |
| Isaiah Pineiro * | 29 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 4 | -1.1 |
| Cameron Neubauer * | 27 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | +3.1 |
| Juwan Gray | 26 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -2.5 |
| Yauhen Massalski | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -2.4 |
| Alex Floresca | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -8.2 |
| Jose Martinez | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JoJo Walker * | 38 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Franklin Porter * | 33 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -2 | +6.1 |
| Josh McSwiggan * | 31 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | -2.2 |
| Philipp Hartwich * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13 | +17.0 |
| Tahirou Diabate * | 20 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | +0.8 |
| Marcus Shaver Jr. | 25 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | +6.8 |
| Joseph Smoyer | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -12.5 |
| D'Marques Tyson | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +3.1 |
| Rashad Jackson | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +2.5 |
| Malcolm Porter | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +4.4 |
* = starter