Model Predictions
| Model | Pacific Tigers | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.8% | 93.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.5% | 94.5% | +15.6 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.8% | 97.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.7% | 97.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +18 (74-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahlil Tripp * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 24 | - |
| Jack Williams * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Roberto Gallinat * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Namdi Okonkwo * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Anthony Townes | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Lafayette Dorsey | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Kendall Small | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmett Naar * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 18 | - |
| Jock Landale * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 31 | - |
| Jordan Ford * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Calvin Hermanson * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Tanner Krebs * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Evan Fitzner | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Cullen Neal | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Elijah Thomas | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Tommy Kuhse | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Hunter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jock Perry | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter