Model Predictions
| Model | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Loyola Marymount Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 91.7% | 8.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.9% | 14.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 99.1% | 0.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 99.2% | 0.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Loyola Marymount Lions -19 (66-85). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Perkins * | 35 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 14 | +9.9 |
| Johnathan Williams * | 34 | 13-18 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 24 | +0.2 |
| Z. Norvell Jr. * | 33 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 4-5 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | +7.7 |
| Silas Melson * | 29 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +5.1 |
| Killian Tillie * | 26 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 9 | +5.9 |
| Corey Kispert | 18 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | -6.8 |
| Rui Hachimura | 18 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12 | -4.2 |
| Jacob Larsen | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -1 | -4.6 |
| Jeremy Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.7 |
Loyola Marymount Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Batemon * | 32 | 4-13 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | -4.8 |
| Eli Scott * | 30 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 2 | +5.0 |
| Steven Haney * | 30 | 8-16 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 10 | -5.8 |
| Mattias Markusson * | 24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -4.8 |
| Joe Quintana * | 22 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | -8.2 |
| Jeffery McClendon | 22 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | +5.3 |
| Mikail Simmons | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +15.1 |
| Zafir Williams | 16 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +0.5 |
| Cam Allen | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.9 |
* = starter