Model Predictions
| Model | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Pepperdine Waves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 96.3% | 3.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 91.1% | 8.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 90.0% | 10.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 99.6% | 0.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 99.6% | 0.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 86.8% | 13.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pepperdine Waves -30 (59-89). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Perkins * | 27 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -1 | +8.7 |
| Z. Norvell Jr. * | 27 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | +5.4 |
| Killian Tillie * | 25 | 9-10 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 23 | +5.9 |
| Silas Melson * | 24 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +12.2 |
| Johnathan Williams * | 21 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 9 | +3.6 |
| Corey Kispert | 25 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | +12.3 |
| Jacob Larsen | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | +8.5 |
| Rui Hachimura | 15 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | +7.5 |
| Jeremy Jones | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +0.6 |
| Jesse Wade | 5 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +0.7 |
| Jack Beach | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.2 |
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Cooper Jr. * | 31 | 8-15 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | +1.9 |
| Colbey Ross * | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 5 | -2.4 |
| Trae Berhow * | 27 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | +1.5 |
| Darnell Dunn * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -4.9 |
| Matthew Atewe * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1.5 |
| Harrison Meads | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | -17.1 |
| Nolan Taylor | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Amadi Udenyi | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -13.9 |
| Knox Hellums | 12 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -2.8 |
| Kaijae Yee-Stephens | 9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -10.6 |
| Jade' Smith | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -8.2 |
| Kevin Hempy | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Elijah Lee | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.6 |
* = starter