Model Predictions
| Model | Gonzaga Bulldogs | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 75.5% | 24.5% | -6.2 | ✗ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 88.3% | 11.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.4% | 15.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.4% | 15.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +2 (72-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wade | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Perkins * | 37 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | - |
| J. Williams * | 35 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 25 | - |
| S. Melson * | 34 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Z. Norvell Jr. * | 33 | 9-18 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 7 | - |
| K. Tillie * | 25 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 10 | - |
| R. Hachimura | 19 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| C. Kispert | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Jones | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Larsen | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mitchell * | 36 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| D. Watson * | 28 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| J. Hemsley * | 25 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Pope * | 21 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| K. Rooks * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. McDaniels | 28 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 20 | - |
| T. Kell | 23 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 8-10 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| M. Montana | 18 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| J. Schakel | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter