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2017-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 52.0% 48.0% -
Bradley-Terry 80.0% 20.0% -
Margin 75.5% 24.5% -6.2 (8.2 off)
Pythagorean 69.7% 30.3% -
Efficiency 88.3% 11.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 84.4% 15.6% -
Log Adjusted 84.4% 15.6% -

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +2 (72-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Wade 0 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
J. Perkins * 37 1-7 1-6 2-4 1 7 0 0 6 5 0 -
J. Williams * 35 4-8 1-1 3-6 15 2 1 4 1 12 25 -
S. Melson * 34 3-12 1-5 1-2 6 3 1 0 2 8 4 -
Z. Norvell Jr. * 33 9-18 4-11 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 22 7 -
K. Tillie * 25 3-6 1-3 0-0 5 3 1 4 4 7 10 -
R. Hachimura 19 4-7 0-2 5-5 5 1 1 1 1 13 13 -
C. Kispert 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
J. Jones 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Larsen 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 4 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Mitchell * 36 4-12 3-8 4-5 5 2 1 1 2 15 10 -
D. Watson * 28 3-12 1-4 3-3 1 3 1 0 1 10 2 -
J. Hemsley * 25 2-5 2-3 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 6 5 -
M. Pope * 21 4-10 1-3 0-0 6 1 1 0 2 9 5 -
K. Rooks * 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
J. McDaniels 28 5-8 0-0 5-6 10 1 2 0 0 15 20 -
T. Kell 23 3-7 0-2 8-10 4 4 1 0 2 14 14 -
M. Montana 18 0-4 0-2 1-2 3 0 1 0 0 1 1 -
J. Schakel 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter