Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.1% | 65.9% | +3.6 | ✓ (16.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.9% | 95.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +20 (81-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Frazier * | 34 | 4-13 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| K. Nichols * | 30 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| M. Alstork * | 22 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| L. Black * | 22 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 12 | - |
| A. Jordan * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| G. Eboigbodin | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| T. Lucas | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Ma. Smith | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| D. Williams | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| M. Vesel | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Cayce | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Liss | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Oladimeji | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bridges * | 33 | 4-11 | 4-7 | 7-8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| J. Langford * | 27 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| L. Nairn Jr. * | 24 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| G. Schilling * | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| B. Carter * | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. McQuaid | 24 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Jackson Jr. | 18 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| K. Goins | 17 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| N. Ward | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| C. Winston | 15 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| X. Tillman | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| C. George | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter