Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.2% | 9.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.5% | 28.5% | -5.0 | ✓ (0.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.6% | 5.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -5 (60-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Langford * | 38 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Cassius Winston * | 34 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 24 | - |
| Nick Ward * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Miles Bridges * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | - |
| J. Jackson Jr. * | 14 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Matt McQuaid | 26 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Kenny Goins | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| L. Nairn Jr. | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Xavier Tillman | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Gavin Schilling | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ben Carter | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vic Law * | 40 | 7-17 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Anthony Gaines * | 37 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Scottie Lindsey * | 31 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Dererk Pardon * | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Gavin Skelly * | 23 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Aaron Falzon | 20 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Barret Benson | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Isiah Brown | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
* = starter