Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 80.0% | 20.0% | -7.6 | ✓ (22.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 86.2% | 13.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.1% | 3.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.7% | 4.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.7% | 4.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Golden Gophers -30 (57-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Bridges * | 25 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Cassius Winston * | 24 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Joshua Langford * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Jackson Jr. * | 22 | 10-14 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 25 | - |
| Nick Ward * | 18 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Matt McQuaid | 25 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| L. Nairn Jr. | 20 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Kenny Goins | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Gavin Schilling | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Ben Carter | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Xavier Tillman | 7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Conner George | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Mason * | 38 | 4-16 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Isaiah Washington * | 35 | 6-12 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Michael Hurt * | 31 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Murphy * | 31 | 6-13 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Bakary Konate * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Jam. Harris | 27 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -3 | - |
| Davonte Fitzgerald | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Gaston Diedhiou | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter