Model Predictions
| Model | Penn State Nittany Lions | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.8% | 30.2% | -4.6 | ✓ (17.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -22 (52-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Penn State Nittany Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Stevens * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 15 | - |
| S. Garner * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 22 | - |
| T. Carr * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 26 | - |
| M. Watkins * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| J. Reaves * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| N. Bostick | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| J. Moore | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| J. Wheeler | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| J. Harrar | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Zemgulis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Frazier * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | - |
| L. Black * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 21 | - |
| A. Jordan * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| G. Eboigbodin * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| M. Alstork * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| K. Nichols | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 18 | - |
| D. Williams | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Lucas | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Ma. Smith | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Vesel | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Liss | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter