Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.3% | 55.7% | +1.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +3 (68-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vince Edwards * | 35 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Carsen Edwards * | 35 | 5-15 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 4 | - |
| P.J. Thompson * | 34 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Dakota Mathias * | 30 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Isaac Haas * | 27 | 12-22 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 8 | - |
| Ryan Cline | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Matt Haarms | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Nojel Eastern | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Grady Eifert | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cassius Winston * | 36 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Miles Bridges * | 32 | 9-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Joshua Langford * | 19 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Jackson Jr. * | 13 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Nick Ward * | 11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Kenny Goins | 30 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Matt McQuaid | 29 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Gavin Schilling | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Xavier Tillman | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Nairn Jr. | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Ben Carter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter