Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Iowa Hawkeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.1% | 18.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.4% | 50.6% | +0.1 | ✗ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 86.4% | 13.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.8% | 7.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.8% | 7.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes -3 (93-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Bridges * | 32 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 7-9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Joshua Langford * | 30 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Cassius Winston * | 23 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| J. Jackson Jr. * | 19 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Nick Ward * | 12 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Kenny Goins | 25 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Matt McQuaid | 22 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| L. Nairn Jr. | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Gavin Schilling | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Xavier Tillman | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Cook * | 37 | 11-22 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 13 | - |
| Jordan Bohannon * | 32 | 6-12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Isaiah Moss * | 27 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Luka Garza * | 22 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Nicholas Baer * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Cordell Pemsl | 19 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Maishe Dailey | 17 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Jack Nunge | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ahmad Wagner | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Brady Ellingson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Kriener | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter