Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Indiana Hoosiers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 64.6% | 35.4% | -3.3 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.3% | 4.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.6% | 23.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Hoosiers -3 (60-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Bridges * | 33 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Cassius Winston * | 31 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Joshua Langford * | 27 | 4-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -2 | - |
| J. Jackson Jr. * | 25 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Nick Ward * | 19 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Matt McQuaid | 23 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Kenny Goins | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| L. Nairn Jr. | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Gavin Schilling | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Xavier Tillman | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ben Carter | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach McRoberts | 18 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Robert Johnson * | 37 | 2-15 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -3 | - |
| Juwan Morgan * | 35 | 8-17 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Freddie McSwain * | 29 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 18 | - |
| Josh Newkirk * | 26 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Zach McRoberts * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Devonte Green | 31 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Collin Hartman | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Al Durham | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Justin Smith | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter