Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Indiana Hoosiers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.6% | 29.4% | -4.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.2% | 4.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.8% | 22.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.9% | 22.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Hoosiers -7 (67-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vince Edwards * | 37 | 7-15 | 0-6 | 5-7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Dakota Mathias * | 34 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| P.J. Thompson * | 32 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Isaac Haas * | 30 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 16 | - |
| Carsen Edwards * | 28 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Cline | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Matt Haarms | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Nojel Eastern | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Grady Eifert | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach McRoberts | 34 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Juwan Morgan * | 36 | 10-18 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Robert Johnson * | 36 | 8-16 | 2-6 | 3-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Josh Newkirk * | 35 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Zach McRoberts * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - |
| Justin Smith * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Freddie McSwain | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Al Durham | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Devonte Green | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter