Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.3% | 58.7% | +1.9 | ✗ (14.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.2% | 10.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.1% | 10.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -13 (74-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Bridges * | 38 | 11-13 | 2-4 | 7-7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 26 | - |
| J. Jackson Jr. * | 30 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 11-12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 31 | - |
| Joshua Langford * | 25 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Cassius Winston * | 20 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Nick Ward * | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| L. Nairn Jr. | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Kenny Goins | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Matt McQuaid | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Xavier Tillman | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Gavin Schilling | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Cayce | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Vesel | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Frazier * | 28 | 5-13 | 0-6 | 3-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 2 | - |
| M. Finke * | 27 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| M. Alstork * | 23 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | - |
| L. Black * | 20 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Ma. Smith * | 20 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| K. Nichols | 22 | 9-14 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 15 | - |
| D. Williams | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| T. Lucas | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| G. Eboigbodin | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Jordan | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter