Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Hoosiers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.6% | 83.4% | +8.9 | ✓ (19.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +28 (85-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach McRoberts | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Josh Newkirk * | 33 | 5-17 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 1 | - |
| Robert Johnson * | 31 | 7-13 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Zach McRoberts * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Justin Smith * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Juwan Morgan * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Freddie McSwain | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Al Durham | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Collin Hartman | 17 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Devonte Green | 10 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Clifton Moore | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Bridges * | 30 | 9-13 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 10 | - |
| Cassius Winston * | 26 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Nick Ward * | 23 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Joshua Langford * | 23 | 3-12 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| J. Jackson Jr. * | 21 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Matt McQuaid | 21 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| L. Nairn Jr. | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kenny Goins | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Gavin Schilling | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Xavier Tillman | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Ben Carter | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Conner George | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter