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2018-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Hoosiers Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 13.3% 86.7% -
Bradley-Terry 37.2% 62.8% -
Margin 16.6% 83.4% +8.9 (19.1 off)
Pythagorean 23.4% 76.6% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 17.4% 82.6% -
Log Adjusted 17.3% 82.7% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +28 (85-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Mcroberts 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 1 1 0 2 -
J. Newkirk * 33 5-17 4-12 0-0 2 3 1 0 2 14 1 -
R. Johnson * 31 7-13 4-6 3-5 7 1 0 0 2 21 14 -
Z. McRoberts * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 1 1 0 2 -
J. Smith * 22 3-6 0-0 3-4 4 0 1 0 2 9 6 -
J. Morgan * 16 1-5 0-1 0-2 3 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
F. McSwain Jr. 20 1-2 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 1 0 4 8 -
Al Durham 20 2-5 0-0 1-1 0 1 0 0 1 5 0 -
C. Hartman 17 0-5 0-4 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 0 0 -
D. Green 10 1-5 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 -2 -
C. Moore 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Bridges * 30 9-13 4-6 0-0 3 1 0 2 5 22 10 -
C. Winston * 26 3-5 2-4 2-2 4 8 0 0 1 10 16 -
N. Ward * 23 7-9 0-0 4-7 13 2 1 1 2 18 24 -
J. Langford * 23 3-12 0-1 1-2 6 3 0 0 1 7 3 -
J. Jackson Jr. * 21 4-6 2-3 0-2 6 3 0 3 2 10 14 -
M. McQuaid 21 4-6 2-4 1-1 3 2 0 0 0 11 10 -
L. Nairn Jr. 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 2 -
K. Goins 16 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 1 1 0 3 -
G. Schilling 9 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
X. Tillman 9 1-2 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
B. Carter 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
C. George 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter