Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.6% | 74.4% | +5.9 | ✗ (15.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -10 (72-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moritz Wagner | 27 | 8-13 | 3-4 | 8-8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 20 | - |
| M. Abdur-Rahkman * | 39 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 7-7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Charles Matthews * | 34 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Zavier Simpson * | 30 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 5-10 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Moritz Wagner * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 33 | - |
| Isaiah Livers * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Duncan Robinson | 18 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Eli Brooks | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jon Teske | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jordan Poole | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Austin Davis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Bridges * | 35 | 7-14 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Joshua Langford * | 34 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Cassius Winston * | 31 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 5 | - |
| J. Jackson Jr. * | 27 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 10-13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Nick Ward * | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Matt McQuaid | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kenny Goins | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Xavier Tillman | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Gavin Schilling | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| L. Nairn Jr. | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter