Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Maryland Terrapins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Maryland Terrapins +18 (91-73). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Bohannon * | 36 | 5-13 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 5 | -16.5 |
| Isaiah Moss * | 32 | 10-16 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 12 | -0.9 |
| Nicholas Baer * | 28 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 18 | -5.6 |
| Tyler Cook * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | -5.1 |
| Luka Garza * | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -8.5 |
| Maishe Dailey | 22 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -27.3 |
| Cordell Pemsl | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | -9.3 |
| Ahmad Wagner | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -6.5 |
| Ryan Kriener | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -3.3 |
| Jack Nunge | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.3 |
Maryland Terrapins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Cowan Jr. * | 37 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 7-9 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | +22.4 |
| Bruno Fernando * | 34 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 18 | +6.0 |
| Kevin Huerter * | 34 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | +20.5 |
| Darryl Morsell * | 32 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | +30.0 |
| Michal Cekovsky * | 23 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 6 | +2.9 |
| Dion Wiley | 15 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | +11.5 |
| Jared Nickens | 14 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | -2.5 |
| Joshua Tomaic | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +9.3 |
* = starter