Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Ohio State Buckeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.7% | 10.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.9% | 10.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +16 (80-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cassius Winston * | 32 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | -1.6 |
| Joshua Langford * | 32 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 6 | -12.8 |
| Miles Bridges * | 32 | 7-19 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | -5.4 |
| Nick Ward * | 26 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | -5.6 |
| J. Jackson Jr. * | 24 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | -14.1 |
| Lourawls Nairn Jr. | 21 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4.2 |
| Matt McQuaid | 16 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -17.1 |
| Kenny Goins | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -10.4 |
| Gavin Schilling | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -4.2 |
| Xavier Tillman | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.5 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keita Bates-Diop * | 35 | 12-21 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 21 | +26.9 |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 33 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 5-9 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 14 | +18.0 |
| C.J. Jackson * | 29 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | +18.4 |
| Kam Williams * | 28 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | +18.8 |
| Kaleb Wesson * | 27 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | -4.1 |
| Andrew Dakich | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | +6.4 |
| Kyle Young | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +21.8 |
| Musa Jallow | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -7.8 |
| Andre Wesson | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.0 |
| Micah Potter | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5.7 |
* = starter