Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio State Buckeyes | Iowa Hawkeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes -11 (81-92). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keita Bates-Diop * | 34 | 10-17 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 27 | +18.8 |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 34 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 11 | +5.6 |
| Kam Williams * | 26 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | +1.5 |
| C.J. Jackson * | 22 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | -5.0 |
| Kaleb Wesson * | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | -3.3 |
| Andrew Dakich | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | +8.6 |
| Micah Potter | 15 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +7.1 |
| Andre Wesson | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +4.5 |
| Musa Jallow | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +3.8 |
| Kyle Young | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +1.1 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Bohannon * | 30 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | +0.9 |
| Tyler Cook * | 27 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 15 | +9.4 |
| Luka Garza * | 26 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 15 | -8.0 |
| Nicholas Baer * | 24 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +3.6 |
| Isaiah Moss * | 21 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | +2.5 |
| Maishe Dailey | 23 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | -7.0 |
| Cordell Pemsl | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5.8 |
| Ahmad Wagner | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -3.4 |
| Jack Nunge | 8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | -9.1 |
| Ryan Kriener | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| Brady Ellingson | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -5.3 |
* = starter