Model Predictions
| Model | Maryland Terrapins | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +30 (91-61). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Maryland Terrapins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Cowan Jr. * | 38 | 8-17 | 3-6 | 7-7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 15 | -10.1 |
| Kevin Huerter * | 36 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | -0.2 |
| Darryl Morsell * | 34 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +0.9 |
| Bruno Fernando * | 23 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | -9.3 |
| Michal Cekovsky * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +0.2 |
| Dion Wiley | 18 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -3.6 |
| Sean Obi | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -11.3 |
| Joshua Tomaic | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -11.5 |
| Jared Nickens | 10 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | -15.3 |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Bridges * | 33 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 21 | +16.3 |
| Cassius Winston * | 26 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | +20.4 |
| Joshua Langford * | 23 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | -1.7 |
| Nick Ward * | 22 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 14 | +10.8 |
| J. Jackson Jr. * | 16 | 5-6 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 13 | +1.4 |
| Matt McQuaid | 24 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | +16.2 |
| Lourawls Nairn Jr. | 19 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | +3.1 |
| Kenny Goins | 13 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 11 | +6.8 |
| Xavier Tillman | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +11.5 |
| Gavin Schilling | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -7.4 |
| Ben Carter | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Conner George | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.1 |
* = starter