Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | Maryland Terrapins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.2% | 94.8% | +16.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Maryland Terrapins +21 (66-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jairus Lyles * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 28 | - |
| K.J. Maura * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Joe Sherburne * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Arkel Lamar * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Nolan Gerrity * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Jourdan Grant | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Horvath | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Daniel Akin | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Max Portmann | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Maryland Terrapins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Huerter * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Anthony Cowan * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 32 | - |
| Darryl Morsell * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Bruno Fernando * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Jared Nickens * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Dion Wiley | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Ivan Bender | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Michal Cekovsky | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Joshua Tomaic | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter