Model Predictions
| Model | Penn State Nittany Lions | George Mason Patriots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.2% | 15.8% | -13.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 94.5% | 5.5% | -15.7 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.1% | 4.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.2% | 4.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: George Mason Patriots -18 (54-72). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Penn State Nittany Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shep Garner * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Lamar Stevens * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 39 | - |
| Mike Watkins * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 29 | - |
| Josh Reaves * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Nazeer Bostick * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Jamari Wheeler | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Trent Buttrick | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| John Harrar | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Kier * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Jaire Grayer * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 26 | - |
| Otis Livingston * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Greg Calixte * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Goanar Mar * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Ian Boyd | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Javon Greene | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| A.J. Wilson | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
* = starter