Model Predictions
| Model | Valparaiso Beacons | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.8% | 61.2% | +1.7 | ✓ (32.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.6% | 86.4% | +10.2 | ✓ (23.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +34 (84-50). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Burton * | 30 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 7-10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Markus Golder * | 27 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Bakari Evelyn * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -3 | - |
| John Kiser * | 24 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Jaume Sorolla * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Micah Bradford | 26 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Max Joseph | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Marten Linssen | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Derrik Smits | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Mileek McMillan | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -5 | - |
| Parker Hazen | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Lindsey * | 29 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Vic Law * | 25 | 5-9 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Bryant McIntosh * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Dererk Pardon * | 20 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Aaron Falzon * | 15 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Gavin Skelly | 24 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Anthony Gaines | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Barret Benson | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Isiah Brown | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Ash | 11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Charlie Hall | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tino Malnati | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter