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2017-12-09

Model Predictions

Model Southern Utah Thunderbirds Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 1.5% 98.5% -
Bradley-Terry 8.4% 91.6% -
Margin 1.5% 98.5% +23.1 (1.9 off)
Pythagorean 1.8% 98.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +25 (88-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Utah Thunderbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Marin * 36 3-11 1-6 5-8 5 4 1 0 2 12 9 -
J. Cohee * 35 4-11 2-3 2-2 4 5 1 0 2 12 9 -
J. McGee * 24 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 3 4 -
J. Calloway * 23 4-10 4-7 0-0 5 1 2 0 2 12 8 -
C. Musoko * 22 1-4 0-0 2-2 5 0 1 0 0 4 6 -
B. Better 25 4-14 1-6 0-1 0 0 0 0 2 9 -7 -
I. Madunic 20 4-5 2-2 0-1 8 0 2 0 1 10 14 -
J. Aytes 11 0-6 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 0 1 -2 -
J. Lyons 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Swallow 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Johnson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Bridges * 31 7-16 1-3 2-2 11 6 1 2 2 17 19 -
C. Winston * 27 5-8 5-6 0-0 3 5 1 0 1 15 15 -
J. Jackson Jr. * 26 3-7 0-2 11-12 13 1 1 5 1 17 29 -
J. Langford * 26 3-7 1-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 7 4 -
N. Ward * 21 6-10 1-1 4-9 6 0 0 3 3 17 13 -
L. Nairn Jr. 19 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 0 2 -
M. McQuaid 16 1-6 1-5 2-2 1 4 1 0 1 5 4 -
K. Goins 12 0-1 0-0 1-2 4 1 1 2 0 1 8 -
G. Schilling 11 2-2 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 0 6 9 -
X. Tillman 5 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 3 3 -
B. Carter 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
C. George 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter