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2017-12-05

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Rutgers Scarlet Knights Spread Result
Elo 88.3% 11.7% -
Bradley-Terry 57.1% 42.9% -
Margin 75.1% 24.9% -6.1 (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 87.3% 12.7% -
Efficiency 96.3% 3.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 95.2% 4.8% -
Log Adjusted 95.2% 4.8% -

Actual: Rutgers Scarlet Knights -10 (52-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Bridges * 29 7-17 5-11 2-2 5 1 0 0 2 21 8 -
J. Langford * 29 6-20 0-4 3-3 3 3 0 0 1 15 0 -
J. Jackson Jr. * 26 4-5 0-1 3-5 3 1 2 8 1 11 19 -
C. Winston * 16 2-4 2-2 0-1 3 3 1 0 2 6 7 -
N. Ward * 11 1-5 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 0 0 3 4 -
L. Nairn Jr. 29 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 6 0 0 2 0 4 -
K. Goins 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 0 0 6 -
M. McQuaid 19 2-4 1-3 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 5 7 -
G. Schilling 11 0-0 0-0 1-2 8 0 0 2 3 1 8 -
X. Tillman 6 0-0 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
B. Carter 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Baker * 36 5-13 1-4 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 11 3 -
C. Sanders * 34 2-15 2-5 0-0 5 2 0 1 1 6 -2 -
D. Freeman * 24 3-10 0-1 7-8 9 0 1 1 2 13 12 -
I. Thiam * 18 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
M. Doucoure * 15 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 2 2 -
M. Williams 25 2-7 1-3 3-4 7 0 0 0 0 8 8 -
E. Omoruyi 22 4-12 0-0 3-4 4 1 0 1 2 11 3 -
S. Doorson 14 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 -
S. Mensah 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
C. Sa 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter