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2017-12-04

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Hawkeyes Indiana Hoosiers Spread Result
Elo 33.1% 66.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 33.0% 67.0% - โœ“
Margin 29.2% 70.8% +4.9 โœ“ (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 44.7% 55.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 30.5% 69.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 30.4% 69.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 39.3% 60.7% - โœ“

Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +13 (77-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Bohannon * 29 2-8 2-6 1-2 4 4 0 0 5 7 2 -
Jack Nunge * 26 4-8 2-4 2-2 6 1 1 1 0 12 13 -
Isaiah Moss * 17 1-5 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 2 0 -
Luka Garza * 15 3-4 0-0 0-2 3 1 0 0 1 6 5 -
Tyler Cook * 14 4-8 1-1 0-0 5 0 1 0 3 9 4 -
Brady Ellingson 24 6-9 3-4 1-2 1 4 1 1 0 16 14 -
Maishe Dailey 21 1-7 1-4 0-0 5 4 0 0 0 3 5 -
Ahmad Wagner 20 2-8 0-1 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 4 0 -
Cordell Pemsl 18 1-4 0-0 0-1 2 1 1 1 2 2 1 -
Nicholas Baer 14 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 1 1 3 3 3 5 -
Dom Uhl 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Robert Johnson * 32 2-9 1-6 4-4 7 3 1 0 2 9 9 -
Juwan Morgan * 29 6-9 0-1 3-4 10 0 2 1 1 15 18 -
Josh Newkirk * 28 2-5 1-1 1-2 7 1 2 0 1 6 10 -
Al Durham * 22 3-7 1-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 7 2 -
De'Ron Davis * 18 5-11 0-0 3-9 6 1 2 4 2 13 13 -
Devonte Green 25 4-8 2-4 2-2 2 4 1 0 2 12 9 -
Collin Hartman 20 4-9 3-6 2-2 5 2 1 0 0 13 12 -
Zach McRoberts 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 4 -
Justin Smith 7 0-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 0 -1 -
Freddie McSwain 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Clifton Moore 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Johnny Jager 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter