Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Indiana Hoosiers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.4% | 97.6% | +20.3 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +17 (87-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Cockfield * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Rashad Lindsey * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Tamas Bruce * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Tristin Walley * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Connor Kern * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Deven Simms | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 25 | - |
| Grantham Gillard | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Jake Scoggins | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| C.J. Foster | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Marquis Eaton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shaquillo Fritz | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Andrew Riley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #3934721 * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 40 | - |
| Robert Johnson * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Devonte Green * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 16 | - |
| De'Ron Davis * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 20 | - |
| Josh Newkirk * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Al Durham | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Curtis Jones | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Freddie McSwain | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16 | - |
| Justin Smith | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
* = starter