Model Predictions
| Model | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.3% | 82.7% | +8.6 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +5 (62-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Gibbs * | 38 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Bonzie Colson * | 37 | 9-20 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Rex Pflueger * | 36 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Matt Farrell * | 34 | 3-15 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -2 | - |
| Martinas Geben * | 33 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Nikola Djogo | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| John Mooney | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Austin Torres | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Jerome * | 39 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Dallin Hall * | 37 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - |
| I. Wilkins * | 32 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| N. Johnson * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| J. Salt * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Hunter | 25 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| M. Diakite | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| K. Guy | 18 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter