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2018-02-14

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack Syracuse Orange Spread Result
Elo 32.2% 67.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 38.6% 61.4% - โœ—
Margin 36.6% 63.4% +3.0 โœ— (7.0 off)
Pythagorean 50.4% 49.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 41.3% 58.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 41.1% 58.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 43.3% 56.7% - โœ—

Actual: Syracuse Orange -4 (70-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Freeman * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 1 0 2 17 24 -
M. Johnson * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 5 2 0 3 16 25 -
O. Yurtseven * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 4 7 10 -
B. Beverly * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 6 11 -
T. Dorn * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 8 5 -
S. Hunt 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 14 14 -
L. Freeman 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 4 6 -
L. Batts Jr. 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 1 0 2 0 4 -
A. Abu 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 2 3 -

Syracuse Orange

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyus Battle * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 1 0 2 17 19 -
Frank Howard * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 6 3 0 4 16 24 -
Marek Dolezaj * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 5 2 1 2 2 14 -
Oshae Brissett * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 3 0 3 25 32 -
Paschal Chukwu * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 2 0 2 7 -
Matthew Moyer 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 8 13 -
Bourama Sidibe 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -

* = starter