Model Predictions
| Model | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.0% | 88.0% | +11.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +17 (83-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Gibbs * | 38 | 1-9 | 1-3 | 7-9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Matt Farrell * | 37 | 3-18 | 1-12 | 2-3 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Rex Pflueger * | 36 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Martinas Geben * | 17 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Austin Torres * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| John Mooney | 32 | 6-8 | 6-6 | 0-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Elijah Burns | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Nikola Djogo | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Matt Gregory | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Liam Nelligan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Johnson * | 34 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| J. Berry II * | 33 | 8-15 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Theo Pinson * | 31 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Kenny Williams * | 31 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 1-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Luke Maye * | 30 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Brandon Robinson | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Garrison Brooks | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Andrew Platek | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Sterling Manley | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Seventh Woods | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kane Ma | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Walker Miller | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Aaron Rohlman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Shea Rush | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Huffman | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter