Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | St. John's Red Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.0% | 28.0% | -8.4 | ✗ (12.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 88.2% | 11.8% | -11.1 | ✗ (15.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.1% | 8.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.2% | 8.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: St. John's Red Storm +4 (81-77). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Trent Jr. * | 40 | 7-12 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Grayson Allen * | 40 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| M. Bagley III * | 34 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 5-8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 13 | - |
| W. Carter Jr. * | 34 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 27 | - |
| Trevon Duval * | 32 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | -1 | - |
| Marques Bolden | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Jack White | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Javin DeLaurier | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
St. John's Red Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shamorie Ponds * | 40 | 12-23 | 4-8 | 5-7 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 21 | - |
| Bashir Ahmed * | 38 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Tariq Owens * | 37 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Justin Simon * | 37 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Marvin Clark II * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Bryan Trimble | 22 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Kassoum Yakwe | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Amar Alibegovic | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter