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2018-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Pittsburgh Panthers Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 8.4% 91.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 11.2% 88.8% - โœ“
Margin 5.5% 94.5% +15.6 โœ“ (11.4 off)
Pythagorean 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +27 (81-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Parker Stewart * 32 6-10 3-6 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 15 7 -
Marcus Carr * 31 5-13 0-3 2-2 3 2 0 0 1 12 3 -
Terrell Brown * 26 1-4 0-1 2-4 6 0 1 2 0 4 9 -
Kene Chukwuka * 26 0-3 0-1 0-0 8 0 2 0 2 0 5 -
Kham Davis * 17 2-5 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 5 2 -
Jared Wilson-Frame 19 2-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 4 1 -
Shamiel Stevenson 17 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 2 2 0 5 3 2 -
Jonathan Milligan 12 3-4 0-0 3-4 1 0 1 0 1 9 6 -
Monty Boykins 10 0-3 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
Samson George 6 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Peace Ilegomah 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Trent Jr. * 32 6-10 5-7 0-0 3 2 2 0 0 17 14 -
W. Carter Jr. * 30 9-10 1-1 2-3 8 2 2 3 3 21 23 -
M. Bagley III * 29 6-10 1-2 7-10 7 1 1 1 2 20 18 -
Trevon Duval * 27 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 4 1 0 4 5 5 -
Grayson Allen * 26 5-11 4-10 2-4 1 2 2 0 1 16 9 -
Alex O'Connell 14 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 -3 -
Jordan Goldwire 13 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Javin DeLaurier 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 2 1 0 4 -
Jack White 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 0 5 -
Justin Robinson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Antonio Vrankovic 5 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

* = starter