Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.7% | 27.3% | -5.4 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 88.4% | 11.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish -1 (68-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Berry II * | 35 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Luke Maye * | 34 | 8-14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Theo Pinson * | 33 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 30 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Kenny Williams * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Garrison Brooks | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Sterling Manley | 10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Robinson | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jalek Felton | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Andrew Platek | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Gibbs * | 39 | 6-20 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 7 | - |
| D.J. Harvey * | 37 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Rex Pflueger * | 34 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Martinas Geben * | 27 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| John Mooney * | 16 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Nikola Djogo | 25 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Austin Torres | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Elijah Burns | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter