Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Pittsburgh Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.6% | 15.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 86.1% | 13.9% | -10.0 | ✓ (25.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 95.7% | 4.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.8% | 3.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.8% | 3.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers -35 (52-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Trent Jr. * | 30 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Grayson Allen * | 29 | 4-12 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| M. Bagley III * | 29 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 2-8 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Trevon Duval * | 26 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| W. Carter Jr. * | 16 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Justin Robinson | 18 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Jordan Goldwire | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Alex O'Connell | 16 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Jack White | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Antonio Vrankovic | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Carr * | 33 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Parker Stewart * | 31 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Shamiel Stevenson * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Kham Davis * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Peace Ilegomah * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Jared Wilson-Frame | 30 | 7-17 | 1-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 1 | - |
| Kene Chukwuka | 23 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Terrell Brown | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Jonathan Milligan | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Samson George | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Zach Smith | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter