Model Predictions
| Model | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Syracuse Orange | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Syracuse Orange -2 (49-51). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Gibbs * | 40 | 6-16 | 2-9 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9 | +7.3 |
| Rex Pflueger * | 40 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +5.1 |
| D.J. Harvey * | 31 | 1-14 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | +4.9 |
| Martinas Geben * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 16 | +1.4 |
| Austin Torres * | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -3.4 |
| Elijah Burns | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | +5.9 |
| John Mooney | 15 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +4.6 |
| Nikola Djogo | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.1 |
Syracuse Orange
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyus Battle * | 40 | 8-15 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 10 | -1.8 |
| Frank Howard * | 40 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 6 | -1.3 |
| Oshae Brissett * | 39 | 3-15 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 4 | +0.7 |
| Paschal Chukwu * | 29 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | +3.5 |
| Matthew Moyer * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Marek Dolezaj | 32 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +1.4 |
| Bourama Sidibe | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -5.5 |
| Howard Washington | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.4 |
* = starter