Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.4% | 38.6% | -2.6 | ✗ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles +1 (81-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Maye * | 35 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| J. Berry II * | 35 | 10-23 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | - |
| Kenny Williams * | 34 | 7-15 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Theo Pinson * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Garrison Brooks * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Cameron Johnson | 25 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Sterling Manley | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Andrew Platek | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jalek Felton | 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Brandon Huffman | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Robinson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terance Mann * | 33 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 4-7 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Braian Angola-Rodas * | 32 | 6-10 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Phil Cofer * | 27 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -2 | - |
| CJ Walker * | 23 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Ike Obiagu * | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Trent Forrest | 26 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Mfiondu Kabengele | 23 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| M.J. Walker | 22 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| PJ Savoy | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Allen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter