Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.7% | 88.3% | +11.1 | ✓ (17.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 4.7% | 95.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +29 (90-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Adel * | 36 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Q. Snider * | 29 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| R. Spalding * | 28 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| V.J. King * | 24 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| A. Mahmoud * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Nwora | 19 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| R. McMahon | 16 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Williams | 15 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| D. Perry | 7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| L. Thomas | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Sutton | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Washington * | 31 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Hamidou Diallo * | 29 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Quade Green * | 27 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Nick Richards * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Kevin Knox * | 17 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 33 | 9-16 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Wenyen Gabriel | 23 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Sacha Killeya-Jones | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Brad Calipari | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jonny David | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dillon Pulliam | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter