Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.7% | 98.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.4% | 99.6% | +30.7 | ✓ (33.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +64 (104-40). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Simmons * | 38 | 2-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -1 | - |
| K.J. Riley * | 34 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Noah Frederking * | 30 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Dainius Chatkevicius * | 27 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| John Hall * | 16 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Marty Hill | 22 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Evan Kuhlman | 20 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Dalen Traore | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bagley III * | 25 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 23 | - |
| Grayson Allen * | 24 | 6-9 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| G. Trent Jr. * | 23 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Trevon Duval * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| W. Carter Jr. * | 18 | 9-15 | 4-7 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 19 | - |
| Alex O'Connell | 21 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Goldwire | 18 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Marques Bolden | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Justin Robinson | 13 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jack White | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Antonio Vrankovic | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Mike Buckmire | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter