Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Davidson Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.2% | 27.8% | -5.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Davidson Wildcats -10 (75-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Maye * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 41 | - |
| Kenny Williams * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 18 | - |
| J. Berry II * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 30 | - |
| Theo Pinson * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 16 | - |
| Garrison Brooks * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Brandon Robinson | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Andrew Platek | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Sterling Manley | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Jalek Felton | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Brandon Huffman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Aaron Rohlman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shea Rush | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Walker Miller | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Aldridge * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 34 | - |
| J. Gudmundsson * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 31 | - |
| Kellan Grady * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 20 | - |
| KiShawn Pritchett * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Oskar Michelsen * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Rusty Reigel | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Will Magarity | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Dusan Kovacevic | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Carter Collins | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
* = starter