Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Indiana Hoosiers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.3% | 27.7% | -8.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 88.1% | 11.9% | -11.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.3% | 10.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.4% | 10.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Hoosiers -10 (81-91). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grayson Allen * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 27 | - |
| M. Bagley III * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 34 | - |
| Trevon Duval * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 24 | - |
| G. Trent Jr. * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| W. Carter Jr. * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 30 | - |
| Javin DeLaurier | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Marques Bolden | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Alex O'Connell | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Johnson * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Josh Newkirk * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Juwan Morgan * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 23 | - |
| De'Ron Davis * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Al Durham * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Devonte Green | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Collin Hartman | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Freddie McSwain Jr. | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Zach McRoberts | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Justin Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter