Model Predictions
| Model | Penn State Nittany Lions | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.2% | 48.8% | -0.3 | ✗ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +7 (85-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Penn State Nittany Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Carr * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 34 | - |
| L. Stevens * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | - |
| J. Reaves * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 21 | - |
| M. Watkins * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 24 | - |
| S. Garner * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| N. Bostick | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| J. Wheeler | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| J. Moore | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Zemgulis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Freeman * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 20 | - |
| B. Beverly * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| T. Dorn * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 20 | - |
| L. Freeman * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 18 | - |
| M. Johnson * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6 | - |
| O. Yurtseven | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 28 | - |
| S. Hunt | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 18 | - |
| L. Batts Jr. | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
* = starter