Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Jaguars | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.1% | 98.9% | +30.9 | ✓ (13.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.1% | 99.9% | +38.5 | ✓ (21.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 3.5% | 96.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +17 (78-61). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Southern Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Sandifer * | 32 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Jared Sam * | 24 | 2-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -4 | - |
| Emanual Shepherd * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Eddie Reese * | 19 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Chris Thomas * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Torrey Mayo | 22 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Richard Lee | 18 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Patrick Smith | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Mubashar Ali | 13 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| LaQuentin Collins | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Shaquille Benson | 7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Brendon Ganaway | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| DeRias Johnson | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bagley III * | 32 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 5-9 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 21 | - |
| G. Trent Jr. * | 31 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Trevon Duval * | 30 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Grayson Allen * | 30 | 3-9 | 0-6 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| W. Carter Jr. * | 28 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 5-7 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 28 | - |
| Alex O'Connell | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Javin DeLaurier | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Marques Bolden | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Goldwire | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jack White | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Antonio Vrankovic | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter