Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Iowa Panthers | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.1% | 92.9% | +14.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +17 (86-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Brown * | 33 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Klint Carlson * | 31 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Tywhon Pickford * | 25 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Juwan McCloud * | 23 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Bennett Koch * | 18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Spencer Haldeman | 24 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Adam McDermott | 16 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Austin Phyfe | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Ted Friedman | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Luke McDonnell | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tanner Lohaus | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Maye * | 28 | 11-16 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Kenny Williams * | 28 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Theo Pinson * | 26 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Jalek Felton * | 22 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Garrison Brooks * | 18 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Seventh Woods | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Robinson | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Sterling Manley | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Andrew Platek | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Brandon Huffman | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Walker Miller | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Shea Rush | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Aaron Rohlman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter