Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.7% | 63.3% | +3.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.2% | 60.8% | +2.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +11 (75-64). Ratings: 2018 season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sylvia Fowles * | 34 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Maya Moore * | 27 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 25 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 19 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Renee Montgomery | 28 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 26 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Alexis Jones | 16 | 3-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Plenette Pierson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odyssey Sims * | 35 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Candace Parker * | 34 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Alana Beard * | 34 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Chelsea Gray * | 34 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 29 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 14 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Essence Carson | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Riquna Williams | 7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter