Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.6% | 68.4% | +4.2 | ✗ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -2 (87-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea Gray * | 34 | 6-14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Odyssey Sims * | 34 | 9-12 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 8 | - |
| Alana Beard * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Candace Parker * | 33 | 7-16 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 29 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 31 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 15 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Essence Carson | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Riquna Williams | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Griner * | 40 | 7-23 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Camille Smith * | 35 | 8-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Diana Taurasi * | 34 | 7-16 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell * | 32 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Yvonne Turner * | 20 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot | 14 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Monique Currie | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Danielle Robinson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Angel Robinson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter