Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.2% | 86.8% | +10.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +13 (79-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi | 33 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 2-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 31 | 5-10 | 5-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 13 | - |
| C. Little | 31 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | - |
| B. Griner | 29 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Yvonne Turner | 23 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| M. Currie | 19 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Emma Cannon | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Danielle Robinson | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A. Robinson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alexis Prince | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cayla George | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odyssey Sims | 36 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 35 | 5-14 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 34 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 18 | - |
| A. Beard | 34 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Candace Parker | 29 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 17 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| E. Carson | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter